| Where exactly does plasma mythology
stand from a philosophical or science-methodological
perspective? The answer to this question depends on
ones general stance in the philosophy of science.
Sir Karl Poppers theory of critical rationalism
is widely seen as the most feasible theory of epistemology
at the present time. In at least three respects, we prefer
a different epistemological framework than the one advocated
by Popper.
Firstly, Popper displayed a great disliking for the
traditional fact-based approach to science as exemplified
in the work of Francis Bacon. In Bacons approach,
scientific hypotheses are derived from collected data
through inductive reasoning. Poppers point
was that induction itself is not a logical, but a psychological
process, that is not vital but circumstantial to the
process of generating hypotheses. While we basically
agree with this position, our impression is that Popper
has downplayed the practical role of induction as an
often indispensable accessory to the human imagination
in the formulation of new hypotheses. We have arrived
at our detailed reconstruction of the internal chronology
of the mythical axis mundi not through wild
and unfettered speculation, but through the traditional
painstaking process of data-gathering on a large
scale, comparative analysis of these data and
the identification of recurrent patterns by means
of induction.
Secondly, our opinion is that Poppers theory
about the monopoly of falsification in scientific theory
is only valid for one particular class of hypothetical
statements namely, for general statements
imputing a certain quality to an entire group
of phenomena. To this class belong the nature
laws of lightning, aurorae, earthquakes and so
on as modelled by physicists. But there are other classes
of hypothetical statements that evade Poppers
comments. Hypothetical statements concerning past
or future events can neither be conclusively
verified nor conclusively falsified, but must be ranked
according to relative probability only. To this
class of statements belongs the hypothesis of an intense
auroral storm at the end of the Neolithic age. Factors
that might reduce the probability of this hypothesis
include evidence that a high-energy density auroral
storm could not produce forms detected in myths and
ancient artefacts, that human beings could not possibly
have seen such forms, that a storm of this magnitude
could not possibly have happened or did not happen,
and so on.
Thirdly, Popper proposed to exclude from the definition
of science all statements that are not falsifiable.
For the reason stated above, we disagree that falsifiability
of claims is the only criterion to science. 'Science'
is primarily a lexical term, the definition of
which must be described (by lexicologists), not
prescribed (by logicians). As such, we define
science in the traditional, Baconian sense as the entire
intellectual process from the acquisition of raw
data through the recognition of patterns and the systematic
organisation of these data (via a balanced combination
of splitting and lumping) to
the formulation of general theories with the capacity
to test or predict the data. Science is simply the art
of reducing a large amount of data to a smaller set
of laws, tendencies or principles
that add comprehension to knowledge.
In conclusion, geophysical and plasma-physical models
of earthquakes, lightning and aurorae are falsifiable
exponents of hard science; our comparative analysis
of traditional cosmologies and myths, partly resulting
in our reconstruction of a near-universal template of
creation mythology, is a falsifiable exponent of soft
science; and the interdisciplinary hypothesis
that many creation myths can be explained in terms of
past geophysical and atmospheric events, as a theory
of past events, is neither conclusively falsifiable
nor conclusively verifiable, but is a historical
model, of a scientific character, that must be graded
relative to other theories of myth according to probability.
The plasma-physical model of creation mythology and
art-historical data, such as geometric petroglyphs,
is simply a working hypothesis for a large set
of ancient data that we consider the most convincing,
the most complete and the most economic theory of the
nature of traditional mythology in general.
This position is not fundamentally different from the
work of archaeoastronomers who reconstruct
past observations of comets and meteor showers on the
basis of textual records. In each case, the impetus
to produce a scientific model is given by
historical data, including human artefacts or writings.
|